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The brilliantly engrossing and thoroughly entertaining Australia vs India test series has come to an end. India has won a historic first test series in Australia and can go into the Australia vs India ODI series full of confidence. If India manages to win or even draw this three-match ODI series (because of rain or a tie), then India would have left Australian shores undefeated.
This has never happened before in a full series.
The chances of this happening also seem to be quite good. India is the most successful ODI side in the world and has been for quite some time now. They have won 14 out of their 20 matches in 2018, a win percentage of 75% which is more than any other side. Australia, on the other hand, won just 2 out of its 13 matches in 2018 which is a win percentage of just 15.38%.
India is the second-ranked team in ODI cricket while Australia is the sixth. To say that India goes into the series as favorites is just stating the obvious. Australia has also overhauled its ODI squad and we think they have made some very interesting decisions which will help them compete.
The lack of success that the Australian side has been having over the last year or so is really starting to attract a lot of public criticism and the number of changes made by the selectors shows that they are feeling the pressure.
It is difficult to judge what the Australian playing eleven will be for the first ODI but we can make some educated guesses having a look at the squad.
Aaron Finch is the captain and is going to be opening the batting. We think Australia is likely to go with Marcus Stoinis as the other opener. This is a position in which he has had success for Australia before and been the most destructive for his BBL side. There does not seem to be any other person in the squad that can open the batting for Australia except for maybe Usman Khawaja or Alex Carey but we don’t think they will go that way.
Khawaja is likely to bat at 3, followed by Handscomb, Maxwell, Carey, and Mitchell Marsh. Carey and Stoinis could actually exchange places in the batting order but Alex Carey has had success batting in the lower order for Australia already.
This looks like a very decent batting side for Australia. It is filed by batsmen that can play spin well, have had success in white ball cricket, and have the power to put up some big totals. Shaun Marsh is the one batsman that we have left out of this lineup although his centuries against England last summer could see him get a go instead of Handscomb or his brother.
At 35 years of age, we think it is time to move past Shaun Marsh, especially with the imminent return of Warner and Smith to the side.
The bowling lineup is pretty strong for Australia as well. We think Zampa, Behrendorff, Stanlake, and Jhye Richardson are likely to get the nod for the first match. This would mean leaving out Nathan Lyon and Peter Siddle, both of whom are extremely good bowlers and should get a look somewhere along the line.
This Australian side looks well balanced and is going to give the Indians a run for their money. If the Australian batsmen can find a way to score runs against a strong Indian bowling lineup consistently then we could have a close match to start the series.
Aaron Finch, Alex Carey, Usman Khawaja, Shaun Marsh, Peter Handscomb, Marcus Stoinis, Glenn Maxwell, Nathan Michael Lyon, Peter Siddle, Jhye Richardson, Jason Behrendorff.
India has decided to rest Jasprit Bumrah from the ODI series and has brought in Mohammad Siraj as a replacement. Unlike Australia, though, we have a very good idea of what the playing eleven will be for India going into the Sydney ODI.
India and Virat Kohli have publicly stated that the time to experiment with the ODI side is over and that the first choice players for the World Cup 2019 will be the ones to play as many matches as possible. The side for the Asia Cup and then the West Indies ODI’s gave us a good indication of what that side is.
The top-3 for India pick themselves. Dhawan, Rohit, and Kohli are three of the best ODI batsmen in the world. They have done the bulk of the run scoring for India in the past and will pose the biggest threat to Australia once again.
We are very bullish on Rohit Sharma going into this series because we believe he has turned his ODI batting up a notch in the past one year or so. If India’s top-3 fire like they have been then this ODI series is going to be very one-sided.
The number four position has been debated for a long time but it looks like Ambati Rayadu has finally done enough to nail it down. He is averaging well over fifty in ODI cricket and has been performing for India in all conditions. We don’t think he is going to be dropped barring injury.
Dhoni and Kedar Jhadav are confirmed for 5, and 6 depending upon the situation of the match. Jadhav also brings an important bowling option to the side. Number seven is the slot for the all-rounder. Depending on the conditions that could be Hardik Pandya or Ravindra Jadeja. We think Pandya will get the nod for the first ODI but that will depend on the Sydney surface.
The four bowlers for India are going to be Bhuvaneshwar Kumar, Kuldeep Yadav, Mohammad Shami, and Khaleel Ahmed. Mohammad Siraj could get a look in place of Shami but we think India will start with the experienced campaigner in Sydney.
This Indian side is a formidable one and has the tools to succeed in all conditions. They will be very disappointed if they end up on the losing side.
Shikhar Dhawan, Rohit Sharma, V Kohli, Ambati Rayudu, Dinesh Karthik, MS Dhoni, Ravindra Jadeja, Kuldeep Yadav, Mohammed Shami, Bhuvneshwar Kumar, Khaleel Ahmed.
The side winning the toss is likely to want to bat first
Read our guide on toss predictions to learn how we analyze and come up with our tips.
The weather is expected to be clear on the day of the match even though there is some rain around in Sydney. The pitch is going to be a little slow and should help the spinners although the short boundaries allow for a lot of runs to be scored as well.
We think India should start the series on a winning note but it is not going to be as easy as most people are assuming. India’s spinners are going to play a huge role in deciding the outcome of the match and the series.
Back India to win.
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