Our "Prediction Wizard" will calculate, based on the current available betting odds, the implicit winning percentages for the possible outcomes in a match. This will be updated as soon as we fetch the odds from the betting sites and keep updating until the match is finished.
The final day of the final test between Australia and INdia is upon us and everything is on the line. The series is locked at 1-1 and there are all three potential results on the table in this test match.
Australia started aggressively, as we expected them to, but then lost four quick wickets that set them back. India bowled pretty well, everything considered, and ensured that Australia always had to work hard for their runs.
Steve Smith got to a fifty while Mohammad Siraj and Shardul Thakur shared 9 wickets between them.
The biggest talking point would be a few balls rearing up from length outside the off-stump. That is what Australia would be hoping a lot more of as the match heads into the fifth day.
We think Australia batted just a bit too long especially now that the rain came in and took away around 25 overs from the game.
Everything is set up for this final day to be a fitting end to the series. The risk of rain is real but the forecast is better for the final day than it was for the fourth day. We should expect to lose some time but if luck is on our side then we could get around 70 overs in.
In our opinion, 70 overs is more than enough for Australia to get a win but it is also something that India can bat out. They played over 130 overs to save the Sydney Test and batted well over a 100 overs in the first inning of this match as well.
70 overs is not enough for India to get a win, though. Scoring at over 4 runs an over is next to impossible on the fifth day of a test match, especially when you are a couple of batsmen short from your first choice eleven.
Mitchell Starc looked to be in some pain as he left the ground but he is expected to bounce back and be fit to bowl. Pat Cummins could be the bowler that has the most impact on this final day of the test series.
India Total Runs - 1st Over - 10th Over - Over 25.5 ($2.00)
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The new ball is the best time to score off and both the Indian openers are pretty aggressive batsmen. Edges tend to fly off the bat and the field is also set pretty aggressively. India has 4 runs in the first 1.5 overs and so just needs another 22 runs in the next 8 overs to win you this bet.
A couple of boundaries are all that you need. We think this has a good chance of paying off.
Ajinkya Rahane has a certain steel about him that makes him a formidable opponent. He is a player that is also well-suited to capitalize on the bounce of the Gabba track. We think he is someone who has a great chance of ending up the highest-scorer for India and is available at a pretty attractive rate of 5x as well.
India fought very bravely on the third day as Shardul Thakur and Washington Sundar played the innings of their lives. No one expected them to play the amount of time that they did or score the runs that they did.
India now have a great chance of saving this test especially as the rain is expected to make an appearance over the next two days.
Don't count Australia just yet, though. They are 54 runs ahead and will come out stunning. If David Warner gets going, Australia could be in a position to declare half way through the second session.
The match is poised very evenly and all the results are in play.
David Warner looked in good touch and we think he is going to suck from the start. India may start looking for wickets but they will get defensive very quickly if they cannot get some wickets.
We think Marcus Harris is going to get it quickly but Warner is going to score runs.
T Natarajan is the bowler to watch out as he gets some swing when everyone else is struggling to do so.
Steve Smith has shown how dangerous he can be while batting aggressively and he could get a lot of runs if he gets the chance.
Marcus Harris Total Score 2nd Innings - Under 28.5 ($1.61)
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We don't think it is an overstatement to say the Marcus Harris is playing for his career in this match. He is under pressure and looking very edge. We think he is going to get out cheaply. Bet the under and take the money!
Australia has a great chance of winning this match still. They just need a couple of things going their way. A rate of 4x is worth a small punt innour opinion.
India is playing with a lineup that no one could have imagined at the start of the test series. It is injury ravaged and struggling to get eleven players on the field but it did okay. It picked up five wickets and could have had at least two more by holding on to its catches.
Australia seemed to relax and give away a few wickets on the first day. Still, Marnus Labuschagne’s century has ensured that it will go into the second day firmly in control. The run-rate is a bit slower than what we are used to seeing at the Gabba but that could be because of the pitch.
India will want to pick up these remaining five wickets as quickly as possible while Australia will want to get as many runs as possible. We think India is going to come out refreshed after its bowlers were looking tired at the end of Day 1. Expect some better lines and fields that are a bit more defensive.
Australia will continue to bat as it has been while looking for the loose deliveries. Cameron Green has already shown us what he is capable of when he is given the license and that could be fun to watch as well.
We think T Natarajan could pick up a few more wickets as the Aussies look for quick runs but India is going to struggle to keep the Australian down to under 400.
We think you should err on the side of more on this occasion as India’s bowling is at its weakest. The absence of Navdeep Saini is going to put more pressure on the bowlers and we think the runs are going to flow. To be able to get more then 2x the return on your stake seems like a great value to us right now!
This is a bit safer but the return is still nothing to scoff at. He is well-set, has the measure of the pitch and the bowlers, scored runs in his previous outing, and is a fantastic hitter of the cricket ball. We think Green is going to get a lot of runs on the second day, traditionally the best time to bat on at the Gabba.
We have come to the end of a long and grueling tour where India and Australia have locked horns and come out equals. Forget about the 36 all out because that is a distant memory now. India has won the next match and managed to save a lost test match at Sydney.
Australia was getting frustrated at the end of the third test, a fact that Tim Paine admitted. Its bowlers had to toil hard for 131 overs and now have to start another test math just three days after.
They are, however, going to be playing at the Gabba, a venue where Australia has not lost for over 30 years. India is struggling with injuries, so much so, that they run a real risk of being short of players to choose from.
The odds favor Australia heavily but is there still some value to be found in this match? Is there a way for India to pull off the most famous upset, perhaps, ever?
Australia vs India 4th Test Match 2021 is going to be played at the Gabba, Brisbane starting on the 15th of January 2021.
Australia was dominant in the previous test. It did everything but actually win the match and maybe the only player that will come away disappointed is Nathan Lyon. He picked up two wickets in the entire test match when he was expected to be the main threat on the final day.
Still, despite all that has happened in Sydney, Australia is going to go to the final test match with a lot of confidence. It loves playing at the Gabba as has been said umpteen times in the lead up to it.
The hard and bouncy wicket is going to offer a lot of help for the fast bowlers. Mitchell Starc, Josh Hazelwood, and Pat Cummins have done a lot of work over these last few days but all indications point to an unchanged bowling attack for this last test.
If Australia has to bowl first, it is going to be tested pretty severely.
There is a small injury concern in the batting lineup as well. Will Pucovsky is doubtful after suffering a shoulder injury while fielding. In case he does not play, Marcus Harris should slot in.
Still, the return to form for Steve Smith and some excellent batting by Marnus Labuschagne should put Australia in a good frame of mind. The Gabba is all about scoring big runs in the first inning. David Warner is also expected to be a part of the playing eleven even though he is still not fully fit.
Australia’s batting is not the strongest but it can be expected to perform better against a depleted Indian bowling attack.
David Warner, Marcus Harris, Marnus Labuschagne, Steven Smith, Matthew Wade, Cameron Green, Tim Paine, Pat Cummins, Mitchell Starc, Nathan Michael Lyon, JR Hazlewood.
It is difficult to say who the eleven players are that are going to be taking the field for India in this last match. We know that Ravindra Jadeja is out of the reckoning but there are serious question marks about the availability of Jasprit Bumrah, Ravichandran Ashwin, and Hanuma Vihari.
If we assume that all three of these players are not going to be available then India is staring down the barrel.
The bowling attack could comprise of Mohammad Siraj, Navdeep Saini, and Shardul Thakur/ T Natarajan as the fast bowlers with Kuldeep Yadav as the fourth bowler. This is a very inexperienced bowling attack that is nothing like what India would have planned for coming into this series.
It will be a real shame if the best fast-bowler in India is not able to bowl at the venue where he can have the most impact.
The Indian batting is pretty depleted as well. Without Ravindra Jadeja and possibly Hanuma Vihari, India will have to do some creative selections to cover up for the loss. We may see a batting lineup that has Shubman Gill, Rohit Sharma, Mayank Aggarwal, Cheteshwar Pujara, Ajinkya Rahane, Rishab Pant, and Wriddhiman Saha.
India will be basically be playing almost every single batsman that is left available for selection.
We don’t think India should be counted out of this match just yet, though. It has shown a tremendous ability to fight in this series and is going to give it everything in Brisbane as well.
There is a lot of quality in this lineup, even though the third-string players are now having to lead the way.
Rohit Sharma, Shubman Gill, Cheteshwar Pujara, Ajinkya Rahane, Mayank Agarwal, RR Pant, Washington Sundar, SN Thakur, NA Saini, Mohammed Siraj, T Natarajan.
Winning the toss is a big advantage at the Gabba. This is a venue where teams love to bat first. The team that wins the toss is going to want to take the first strike and that should be seen as a significant edge to have.
Read our guide on toss predictions to learn how we analyze and come up with our tips.
There is some rain predicted for the first day and then later for the final two days as well. There is a good chance that a significant amount of time is going to be wiped away from this test match.
The pitch is going to be hard and bouncy. It will help the fast-bowlers make an impact while the batsmen are going to be able to score quickly as well. That is the trend for the ground in the previous few matches played here.
The pitch remains pretty much the same for the entire duration of the match although a few cracks can start to develop from the second/third day onward.
It is difficult to look past the home team in this match even though a miracle from India is something that everyone would love to see. Australia has almost its full-strength team available whereas India is struggling to put eleven fit bodies on the park.
In such circumstances, Australia’s bowling attack is far more dangerous than what India has.
Also, Australia’s love for the venue which has seen it be unbeaten here for over three decades is hard to ignore.
Bet on Australia to win.
Any Player to Score A Century in the First Match - Yes (1.66)
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The Gabba may be a place where the fast bowlers get some help but the batsmen love batting there as well. We expect one of the players from either side to be able to score a century in the first inning for sure as the conditions can be very helpful for batting in the first two days.
Take the money and run in this one.
Rohit Sharma has been batting very well in the previous match. He loves the ball coming on to the bat and is not afraid of playing the short ball either. We think he is in the perfect position to be able to make the most of the conditions on offer and could well be India’s highest scorer.
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