Our "Prediction Wizard" will calculate, based on the current available betting odds, the implicit winning percentages for the possible outcomes in a match. This will be updated as soon as we fetch the odds from the betting sites and keep updating until the match is finished.
|Faf du Plessis||47||65||3||0||72.31|
|Quinton de Kock||9||12||1||0||75.00|
The opening match of the ODI series between Australia and South Africa was a no-contest. Australia was blown away by the South Africans and consigned to their seventh consecutive ODI loss, their worst such streak in history. If you count the winless tour of the UAE that Australia just came back from, it is clear that there are a lot of problems for the home team at the moment.
South Africa could not have hoped for a better start to the series as it absolutely crushed Australia and seemed to get its team balance right. The opportunity to win another series in and add to South Africa’s already formidable record down under Australia beckons.
Australia may under the pump but it is unwise to write off a quality side like that, especially when playing at home. We expect to see a contest that is a lot closer this time around.
Losing five wickets before the team has reached a score of 50 means that the match is effectively over in the first hour. Australia’s top order was blown apart by some very disciplined bowling but there is no question the side would have been disappointed by the results.
There are some quality players in this lineup that are very short of confidence and it is not a bad thing to spend some time in the middle before really opening out.
Shaun Marsh looks likely to slot back in the side in place of Darcy Short but that is not quite certain yet. We would love to Darcy Short given a long run in the side because this is the format we believe he is most adept for but Justin Langer seems to have a different viewpoint.
Either way, a top-order comprising of Aaron Finch, Travis Head, Shaun Marsh, Chris Lynn, and Alex Carey is pretty formidable. Australia’s batting has been its problem so far and this needs to be rectified by a big century from one or more of its players.
It looks like Australia is setting out to score 350 in every game and that seems to be backfiring. Finch is the captain of this new look Australian side and needs to lead by example. He has tended to score massive scores in between a run of poor innings and that is not helping Australia’s consistency.
The pressure will be mounting on Travis Head as well. He is playing at home on a surface which he knows well and certainly has the talent to score runs. He is our pick to be the top-scorer for Australia in this match.
Chris Lynn, Glenn Maxwell, and Alex Carey can all up the scoring rate at any point in the game. Hitting boundaries comes naturally to them. If they can just rotate the strike in between then this Australia side could be very difficult to beat.
The bowling did not have nearly enough runs to put up a fight in the last game. It was shocking to see Adam Zampa miss out from the last match because he is one genuine wicket-taker in the middle of the inning.
Surely, one of the fast bowlers has to make way for Zampa in this match.
With Starc, Coulter-Nile, and Cummins in the side, Josh Hazelwood is the obvious candidate to be replaced but as vice-captain, that could be tricky.
TM Head, Aaron Finch, Shaun Marsh, Chris Lynn, Alex Carey, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, Pat Cummins, Mitchell Starc, Adam Zampa, JR Hazlewood.
Two of South Africa’s best ODI players are missing on this tour but that did not stop the visitors in the least. Reeza Hendricks and Heinrich Klaasen know that they are playing for a place in the World Cup squad and every performance is going to be crucial for their careers. Hendricks got a good opportunity to showcase his class and came through with a measured 44.
The class of both these players shows the bench strength that South Africa possesses even after being ravaged by Kolpak signings.
Out of all the positives for South Africa in the last match, the biggest would be the form of Dale Steyn. He has been out injured for quite some time now and was facing his first real test in the last game. He bowled with pace, accuracy, and extracted every bit of swing that was on offer. He dismantled the top-order and returned with two wickets for just 18 runs in his seven overs.
Ngidi bowled three maidens in the last match, Phehlukwayo took three wickets, and Imran Tahir got two scalps as well. When Kagiso Rabada is the least successful bowler in your lineup, you know you have a problem of plenty.
On current form, we believe that South Africa’s bowling attack is stronger than Australia. They don’t, however, have any other part-timers to fall back upon in case one of them has a bad day. Phehlukwayo had a good outing in the last match but his medium pace makes him vulnerable to Australia’s big hitters.
South Africa would also have been pleased to see Quinton de Kock get some runs before he threw away his wicket. Aiden Markram also looked very good and is our pick to be the highest scorer for South Africa in this series.
We believe that South Africa’s batting is suspect. They were found out by India earlier this year when they kept collapsing to the spinners. If Australia can come hard at this lineup then some cracks may appear.
Faf du Plessis, Heinrich Klassen, and Davis Miller make up the middle order for the side. Klaasen is new on the scene and Miller can be quite unpredictable. With Phehlukwayo at number 7, the South African batting is certainly prone to collapses.
Quinton de Kock, Reeza Hendricks, Aiden Markram, Faf du Plessis, Heinrich Klaasen, David Miller, Dwaine Pretorius, DW Steyn, Kagiso Rabada, Lungi Ngidi, Imran Tahir.
The side winning the toss will probably bat first
Read our guide on toss predictions to learn how we analyze and come up with our tips.
The Adelaide Oval is using drop-in pitch nowadays and that has meant for some excellent batting surfaces. There is usually a good amount of pace and carry on offer with both the fast bowlers and batsmen getting a good return for their efforts.
Wrist spin could play a massive factor and we expect to see both Tahir and Zampa play attacking wicket taking roles.
Australia is at its lowest point right now. It is not quite the force it once was but it is far from being a poor or a weak side. We believe this could be a good time to get behind the Australian side. The odds on the side are better than what we usually see for dominant home teams and we recommend backing Australia for the win.
Back Australia to win.