About the Match
The final match of the Tri-Nation series will be played between Bangladesh and New Zealand and even though it holds no significance in the context of this series, there is a lot to play for with the Champions Trophy around the corner.
The Kiwis have won all of their three matches in the series so far even though they did not have the services of close to 10 of their first choice players. Most of them will be back though from IPL duty and will be looking to make a mark before the beginning of the Champions trophy.
New Zealand is in the same group as Bangladesh and will be playing a game against them in the Champions Trophy group stages so making sure they continue their dominance over the Bangladeshis will be important.
New Zealand demolished the Irish bowling in the last match as they scored nearly 350 runs aided by some brutal hitting from Colin Munroe. The fact that he is not in the Champions Trophy squad seems like a glaring omission at the moment.
Still, Tom Latham, Neil Broom, Ross Taylor, Corey Anderson, and Luke Ronchi have been among the runs while the bowling has been boosted by the return of Adam Milne, Matt Henry, and Jeetan Patel. We think that New Zealand may want to try out a few players in their Champions Trophy squad who have not got significant game time.
New Zealand has never lost to Bangladesh outside of the subcontinent and they will want to keep that record intact.
There was some expectation that Bangladesh could use this opportunity of playing against a weakened New Zealand side to gain some important confidence against them in seaming conditions but crucial mistakes have meant that Bangladesh remains winless against the Kiwis away from home.
Having edged out the West Indies for a place in the Champions Trophy this year, Bangladesh will be hoping that their extended run of matches in conditions similar to what the tournament will throw up helps them put in some good performances.
For that to happen, batsmen other than Tamim Iqbal and Soumya Sarkar will have to step up while the bowling will also have to be less dependent on Mustrafizur Rahman. His 4 wickets in the last match against Ireland showed signs that he was returning to his best, an ominous sign for Bangladesh opposition coming up.
That Bangladesh has world quality players is no longer disputed but whether they can come together and perform when it matters is the question. Sabbir Rahman, Shakib Al Hasan, and Mushfiqur Rahim are struggling for runs while the bowling remains very erratic.
Bangladesh also found themselves in some strife against Ireland in the opening match before rain ended a tantalizingly poised match. This game will be crucial to how the Bangladeshi team carries confidence into the Champions trophy and we expect them to come out extremely motivated.
Pitch and Conditions
Dublin has provided more for the bowlers than Malahide and so a score of around 260-270 should be match winning. The weather is expected to be clear for this match and so a lot of runs could be on offer after the early moisture has evaporated.
We think that Bangladesh will provide a tough fight to New Zealand but still end up on the losing side.
Back New Zealand to win.
Winner: New Zealand, 1.5 @ Bet on New Zealand now