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|Jake Fraser McGurk||40||33||4||1||121.21|
It has been a pretty long break for the Melbourne Renegades in the middle of the Big Bash but they will be hoping to reprise the form of their most recent match. That was only their second victory of BBL 2020-21 and so they are still at the bottom of the league standings.
Their opponent in this match is Brisbane Heat. A close loss to the Sydney Sixers in the previous match has broken its winning streak but Heat is still in with a very good chance of being a part of the BBL Playoffs.
This match is more important to Heat than it is for the Renegades as a loss would make more of a difference to its standings.
Brisbane Heat vs Melbourne Renegades BBL 2020-21 is going to be played at the Manuka Oval, Canberra on the 14th of January 2021.
Brisbane Heat’s strong batting lineup floundered in the previous match and ended up with a below-par total. It is a credit to its bowling that the match was as close as it ended up being. In this next match, though, Brisbane Heat is going to be without Mujeeb ur Rahman, who has returned to Afghanistan for international duty, and so a replacement would be needed.
Zahir Khan may be the obvious candidate, although, he did not have too much success when he first played.
The real thrust for the victory has to come from the batting, though. Max Bryant, Chris Lynn, Joe Denly, Rory Burns, jimmy Pierson, Lewis Gregory, and James Bazley are all very good strikers of the cricket ball.
Pierson struggled to get the ball off the square in the previous match but that can happen to any cricketer.
Even Jack Wildermuth is a very decent batsman and better than an average tail-ender.
The depth in batting far outdoes that of the Melbourne Renegades.
Mujeeb’s absence is a big loss and will hurt Brisbane Heat but we believe it still has the bowling to be able to do the job against a struggling Melbourne Renegades team.
Chris Lynn, Max Bryant, Joe Denly, Joe Burns, Jimmy Peirson, Lewis Gregory, James Bazley, Jack Wildermuth, Mark Steketee, Xavier Bartlett, Matt Kuhnemann.
A win for the Melbourne Renegades in its previous match would have come as a sigh of relief for Aaron Finch. As the captain and the best batsman of the team, he would be under tremendous pressure to perform.
Unfortunately, his personal batting form has been terrible. He is unable to get the right tempo into his inning and is often getting frustrated and throwing away his wicket. Rilee Rossow is injured and Shaun Marsh is away on paternal leave and may not be back in time for this match either.
As the best batsman this season for the Renegades, his absence is going to be massive.
This leaves the Melbourne batting a bit underpowered. Yes, they have Mackenzie Harvey, Sam Harper, Mohammad Nabi, and Jack Prestwidge but this is a batting lineup that could crumble very quickly.
Imad Wasim, Noor Ahmad, and Peter Hatzglou lead a spin heavy attack with support from Kane Richardson. On paper, this attack should be performing much better than it has been but we would be cautious before placing too much hope into it.
Aaron Finch, Noor Ahmad, Jake Fraser McGurk, Sam Harper, Mackenzie Harvey, Peter Hatzoglou, Shaun Marsh, Jack Prestwidge, KW Richardson, SI Wasim, BJ Webster.
The team that wins the toss is going to want to field first. The previous match at the Manuka Oval was won by the team batting second and we think that trend will continue.
Read our guide on toss predictions to learn how we analyze and come up with our tips.
The conditions have been in favor of the batsmen at the Manuka Oval with the ball coming on nicely and the boundaries pretty small. The really big scores, though, have not been coming and that could be down to a bit of help for the bowlers. The extra bounce has been good for the spinners and the fast bowlers.
An excellent cricket wicket where a score of around 170 should be seen as par.
We think Brisbane Heat is the team to back in this contest. It has the powerful batsmen needed to make the most of the conditions on offer. Their bowling is a bit hamstrung with the loss of Mujeeb but that may be something that they are able to overcome against a struggling Melbourne Renegades team.
Bet on Brisbane Heat to win.
This is a bet that just screams value. Chris Lynn is in great form and will be batting at the top of the order on a surface that is good for batting. We are backing him to hit at least one six in this match and get you paid!
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