Our "Prediction Wizard" will calculate, based on the current available betting odds, the implicit winning percentages for the possible outcomes in a match. This will be updated as soon as we fetch the odds from the betting sites and keep updating until the match is finished.
|Jofra Chioke Archer||7||4||0||0||175.00|
|Jofra Chioke Archer||4.0||0||33||1||8.25|
An extended season of the Big Bash League has finally come to the end of the group stages. After 14 matches each, the Hobart Hurricanes have finished the top of the group by a fair margin. They won ten out of their 14 matches and ensured were the first side to book their place in the BBL Knockouts.
They are now going to face the Melbourne Stars, a side that made it into the BBL semi-final at the very last possible opportunity. The Stars won seven out of their 14 matches and struggled to be competitive when its international players were away for Australian duty.
Both teams are going to have all their players available to them for the first BBL 08 semi-final, though.
The format of the BBL Finals is such that every single team is at the same level no matter where they finished in the group. One bad match and the team is out of the tournament. No matter what has gone before that.
The Hobart Hurricanes have had one of their best group stages in Big Bash history. They have got the home semi-final they deserved and have all their players available for this match as well. This means they have no reason to love and this can put additional pressure on the players.
The Hobart Hurricanes managed to beat the Melbourne Stars when the tables were reversed in BBL 03. On that occasion, the Melbourne Stars reached the semi-finals unbeaten and were then knocked out by the Melbourne Stars. The Hurricanes will be wary of the same thing this time around.
The two highest run-getters of the tournament, Darcy Short and Matthew Wade are going to be opening the batting for the Hurricanes. They have managed to give the rest of the batsmen in their side a pretty easy time until now. If the two of them fail then the middle order of the Hobart Hurricanes is going to be tested for sure.
It looks like the side will stick with Caleb Jewell at 3, followed by Ben McDermott, George Bailey, Simon Milenko, and the five bowlers. The Hobart Hurricanes do not have any real all-rounders in their side and that makes their batting depth a bit vulnerable to the loss of early wickets.
This has not been a problem up until now for the Hobart Hurricanes, though.
The bowling attack for the Hobart Hurricanes has been very good. Jofra Archer, James Faulkner, and Qais Ahmed seem to certain to start in the playing eleven. Two out of Clive Rose, Riley Meredith, and David Moody are going to play.
We would maybe look to go with Rose and Meredith for this match. Rose allows the Hobart Hurricanes to slow up the pace of the match while Meredith gives them raw pace to attack with.
The Hobart Hurricanes are a well-balanced side with plenty of players in form. They must hope to avoid a bad day from here on in.
Matthew Wade, D'Arcy Short, Caleb Jewell, Ben McDermott, GJ Bailey, Simon Milenko, James Faulkner, Jofra Chioke Archer, Clive Rose, Qais Ahmad, Riley Meredith.
The Melbourne Stars owe their place in the BBL semi-final to a brilliant inning from Glenn Maxwell. The Melbourne Stars skipper turned up just when it was needed the most and absolutely crushed the Sydney Sixers bowling attack. There is no one that can stop him in this form and that is exactly what the Melbourne Stars are so dangerous.
The Melbourne Stars don’t have the same quality of batting that the Hobart Hurricanes have. They do have some quality match-winners that can take the game away from the opposition in a matter of a few overs.
The role of Marcus Stoinis in this Melbourne Stars side cannot be overstated. He is the third highest run-getter of the Big Bash this season across all teams and has the most wickets for any bowlers in the Stars side as well.
He is another player that loves the big stage.
If Ben Dunk, Nic Maddinson, or Peter Handscomb can also have a good match then the Stars could challenge the Hurricanes in terms of runs and end up surprising them.
The weak link for the Melbourne Stars has been their bowling. We assume that the same attack will take the field as the one that was so successful against the Sydney Sixers. Such matches have been far and few in between for the Melbourne Stars in BBL 08.
Daniel Worrall, Jackson Bird, Adam Zampa, and Sandeep Lamichhane were the four genuine bowlers in the previous match. Glenn Maxwell and Marcus Stoinis can chip in with the ball as required.
This is not a bowling attack that is going to worry the Hobart Hurricanes too much. One of Lamichhane or Zampa will need to have an incredible night for the Stars to be able to contain a very strong Hobart Hurricanes batting lineup.
Marcus Stoinis, Ben Dunk, Peter Handscomb, Glenn Maxwell, Nic Maddinson, Dwayne Bravo, Sebastian Gotch, Evan Gulbis, Adam Zampa, D Worrall, Sandeep Lamichhane.
The side winning the toss is likely to want to bat first
Read our guide on toss predictions to learn how we analyze and come up with our tips.
The BBL 08 semi-final between the Hobart Hurricanes and the Melbourne Stars is going to be played at the Bellerive Oval, Hobart. The pitch at the Bellerive Oval has been excellent for batting all season. It has provided plenty of opportunities for the batsmen to score runs without having to worry. The outfield is very quick as well.
A 10% chance of rain and some clouds have been forecast for Hobart on match day.
This is a close match to call and sometimes being the favored side can be a weight to bear. The Hobart Hurricanes are the better side in terms of overall strength as well as form. They also have home advantage. The Melbourne Stars, though, are packed with some very talented match winners that can take the game away from anyone.
Backing the home side and looking for in-game opportunities to hedge is highly advised.
Back the Hobart Hurricanes to win.