Our "Prediction Wizard" will calculate, based on the current available betting odds, the implicit winning percentages for the possible outcomes in a match. This will be updated as soon as we fetch the odds from the betting sites and keep updating until the match is finished.
|Jofra Chioke Archer||9.1||4||23||1||2.51|
|Jofra Chioke Archer||5||10||0||0||50.00|
|Jofra Chioke Archer||21.0||3||75||2||3.57|
|Jofra Chioke Archer||0||1||0||0||0.00|
International cricket is finally returning to India after a very long time and we have a great test series to look forward to. India is coming into this series on the back of one of the greatest test series win in the history of the game against Australia. Ravaged by injuries in that series, a number of first-choice players are going to be returning for India.
England is also coming into the series with a 2-0 scoreline against the Sri Lankans. While Sri Lanka is not as stern a test as India, the conditions are somewhat similar and the success is something that will give England a lot of confidence.
Both teams also have selection issues ahead of the first match that will make finding the right balance tricky. Last but definitely not the least is the fact that the curator for this test match is someone who will be preparing a test match pitch for the first time!
India vs England 1st Test Match 2021 is going to be played at the MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chennai starting on the 5th February 2021.
Looking at the Indian squad and the recent Indian performances, we think that the top-5 select themselves. If all the players are fit then Rohit Sharma, Shubman Gill, Cheteshwar Pujara, Virat Kohli, and Ajinkya Rahane select themselves.
This is a very strong batting lineup. Rohit Sharma is a giant in Indian conditions, Gill has shown us what he can do already, and Kohli is returning with a hunger for runs and a poor year behind him (by his standards at least). So much is spoken about Pujara’s defense that his strike rate and success against spin can be forgotten.
Rahane is a bit more tricky. He did not play well apart from a brilliant match-winning century in Melbourne and tends to struggle in turning conditions.
Whatever be the past, though, these are the five that will be the first names on the team sheet.
From here on in the tough decisions start. Does India play Wriddhiman Saha at 6 who is purported to be a better keeper than Pant? Dropping Pant after his heroics in Australia is unthinkable to us and would be a very harsh decision.
Does India play, both? Not likely either as that would compromise the five bowler theory Kohli and Shastri have always believed in.
Saha is coming close to the end of his career and we think it may be tough for him to break into the side unless Pant has a shocker in the first match.
Then the bowlers. Ashwin and Bumrah select themselves once more. India then has to decide whether it plays three spinners or two. Does it want to choose Washington Sundar for his better batting or Axar Patel for his left-arm angle? Does Mohammad Siraj get preference over Ishant Sharma? Is Hardik Pandya a factor here at all?
All of these are tough questions. We think India is going to go in with two spinners to start, Ashwin and Axar, and choose both Siraj and Ishant to partner Bumrah.
Either way, this is a strong team with a lot of depth.
Rohit Sharma, Shubman Gill, Cheteshwar Pujara, V Kohli, Ajinkya Rahane, RR Pant, Washington Sundar, Ravichandran Ashwin, Ishant Sharma, JJ Bumrah, Shahbaz Nadeem.
England has decided to rest Jonny Bairstow for the test leg of this tour, a strange decision and one that we think they will come to regret. Without Bairstow, Joe Root is going to struggle for support.
He is a genius at number four and has shown that he is hungry for runs and to be counted among the Fab-4 once more. He averages over 100 against Sri Lanka and played the sweep shot effectively.
We have no doubt he is going to some runs in India as well and will likely be the highest run-getter for the tourists. What about the rest of the batting, though?
Rory Burns should take his place at the top of the order but will Dom Sibley get the nod or will Zak Crawley get another chance? Neither looked comfortable against spin but Sibley seemed to have made more of an improvement by the end of the Sri Lankan tour.
All three of these players should be picked, though, Jonny Bairstow is not available at three.
Either way, this is a weak top-3 and one that we expect India to knock over quickly in most matches.
Root will be followed by Ben Stokes at 5, Jos Buttler at 6, Ben Foakes at 7, Moeen Ali at 8, Jofra Archer at 9, Stuart Broad at 10, and then Jack Leach at 11.
That is a very deep batting lineup and the tail is certainly a lot more capable than what India has. If England can play out enough time, its lower-order is going to benefit against some tired Indian bowlers.
We think England is going to have to make the tough decisions of leaving out Dan Lawrence, Jimmy Anderson, and Dom Bess, all of whom did quite well on the Sri Lankan tour.
While this England team is not as strong as what we saw in 2012, they could well prove to be the toughest challenge that the Indian team has had at home in recent years.
JE Root, Rory Burns, Dominic Sibley, Daniel Lawrence, BA Stokes, Ollie Pope, Jos Buttler, Dominic Bess, Jofra Archer, Jack Leach, James Anderson.
Winning the toss is going to be a huge advantage in Chennai. Win the toss and bat first. That is a no-brainer and the team that wins the toss should be seen as having a huge advantage.
Read our guide on toss predictions to learn how we analyze and come up with our tips.
There are four pitches that are being prepared right now and the decision on which to play will be taken one day before the test match. According to the curator, he is aiming for a ‘typical Chepauk pitch with an English look’. That means some help for the fast bowlers on day 1, runs from the batsmen on Days 2 and 3, followed by deterioration and the entry of spinners into the game.
If he can deliver that then that is perfect but we think it is difficult to change the underlying nature of a surface. For the first match, a flat pitch with a lot of runs should be in store and the spinners will play a role as the match progresses.
We think there are only two results that are possible in this test match. A win for India or a draw. The latter would mean that the pitch was much too flat but even then, India should have enough firepower in its bowling to come close to a win.
England lacks experience in the batting department and apart from Joe Root who averages 53 in India, none of the other senior batsmen have a good record here.
Bet on India to win.
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This bet is like giving away free money. Bet big ad take home a nice 43% return! This is the same venue where Karun Nair scored a triple century, Lokesh Rahul scored 199, and India registered its highest ever total. All this is not ancient history, either, it happened in the previous match played here. Against England!
Ashwin’s biggest criticism in the past is that he has been a bully at home and ineffective abroad. Well, he is back at home. Literally. Chennai is his home ground and he will be very keen to make sure he delivers. Ashwin is in great form, as we saw against Australia, and knows Chepauk better than perhaps anyone else in the match.
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