About the Match
Day 2 of the final test between India and Australia ended with the visitors edging ahead in this tight contest, however, there is still nothing much to choose between the two sides. Can India recover and match the first innings Aussie total, will the pitch start to play tricks and does Australia have what it takes to close out this match?
Day 3 Preview
India started the day with a clear target. They needed to bat as long as possible and try to make sure that they scored enough runs to not be able to lose this match. For the first two sessions of the day, ti looked like India would succeed in that mission as they kept their wickets intact even though Australia kept the scoring rate under check.
In the final session though Nathan Lyon hit back with some excellent bowling that left the hosts 248 for 6 at the end of day’s play.
At the crease for India are Wriddhiman Saha, the hero from the last test and Ravindra Jadeja, who also scored some valuable runs in the last test. Jadeja looked to score some quick runs and deposited the spinners in the stands a couple of time before the day ended while Saha is lucky to still be there after Matt Renshaw dropped a dolly late in the day of Cummins.
We think that it would be in the best interest of India to play their shots on the third morning and ty to score as many runs as possible. Australia has a new ball that is barely 4 overs old and the likelihood of Cummins or Hazelwood bowling an unplayable delivery is high.
India trails Australia by 52 runs and we think that they will fall 20 runs short of the Aussie total.
The question now comes to India’s bowling and how the pitch plays. It seems to us that the pitch will be good for batting for another day after which negotiating the sharp bounce and movement of the cracks will get difficult.
The biggest threat to Australia will be Ravindra Jadeja who will get some steep bounce and sharp turn throughout the second innings. Kuldeep Yadav picked up 4 crucial wickets in the first innings but his slow pace of bowling may give the batsmen the time to adjust now that they have seen what kind of variations he possesses.
Ravi Ashwin may not be bowling at his best right now but he is the best off-spinner in the world and would want to outbowl Nathan Lyon. We think that this pitch with its bounce and the turn it is offering now could prove to be the perfect situation for Ashwin to exploit.
He is our pick to be the highest wicket taker in this innings.
For Australia, we think that batting will be tough and they will not get more than 200-230 runs in the second innings. Matt Renshaw is our pick to be the best batsman in this innings for Australia along with Shaun Marsh.
We think that the two teams will be still locked in close battle come the end of day’s play tomorrow but that Australia would be favorites to win. The visitors are closing in what may be one of the greatest away series victories of all time.
Back Australia to win.
Winner: Australia, 2.5 @ Bet on Australia now