Our "Prediction Wizard" will calculate, based on the current available betting odds, the implicit winning percentages for the possible outcomes in a match. This will be updated as soon as we fetch the odds from the betting sites and keep updating until the match is finished.
|Colin de Grandhomme||2.0||0||12||0||6.00|
|Colin de Grandhomme||8||4||2||0||200.00|
Things don’t look so good for the Strikers, who are sixth on the ladder and face the possibility of missing the playoffs. After four straight losses, Adelaide is in somewhat of a tailspin and can’t seem to put a good performance together.
The Renegades may be fourth on the ladder but aren’t looking much better with two straight losses and are tied with the Thunder on 12 points. It’s safe to say that both teams are eager for a victory to reach the post-season.
The Renegades still won’t have the batting help of Peter Handscomb, but the good news is that fast bowler Kane Richardson is back in the squad after a recent injury. Melbourne should be proud that they very nearly defeated Perth, only losing by 10 runs despite a giant first-innings total of 212 from the Scorchers.
Marsh (54) and Finch (76) kept the team within hope but they just didn’t have enough help, as Harper (3) was quite useless. It was a shame, as Harper is usually dependable and had three consecutive half-centuries.
Finch is still the team’s driving force and has 355 total runs, as his experience and talent are never to be doubted. It’s good to see Richardson and Rogers back as a bowling duo, as these two have been great lately and a major reason why the Renegades are in fourth place. Rogers’ 20 wickets make him the third-best in the BBL.
Shaun Marsh, Martin Guptill, Sam Harper, Aaron Finch, Matt Critchley, Jonathan Wells, Will Sutherland, Thomas Rogers, Corey Rocchiccioli, Kane Richardson, Fawad Ahmed.
To be fair to the Strikers, they did lose two tough recent games against the Sixers and Scorchers, but it’s still a massive decline for one of the hottest teams.
If the Strikers do somehow make it to the Final, then Alex Carey and Travis Head won’ be available due to Australia Test commitments. Although, to be honest, neither has been spectacular in their time during the BBL, with Head scoring just 15 runs in three games, while Carey has only 57 runs.
Adelaide was pretty terrible against Perth by being bowled out for just 92 runs, including a duck from Matthew Short. However, Short is still reliable and is the team’s leading run-scorer with 458. Adam Hose has been helpful with 301 runs, but the team desperately misses Chris Lynn.
After a great start, fast bowler Henry Thornton has been poor lately, without taking a wicket in his last three matches and not even playing in the Scorchers loss. He’ll be in against the Renegades, but we barely trust him anymore. Wes Agar has been far better recently and has 17 total wickets.
Matt Short, Travis Head, Alex Carey, Adam Hose, Colin de Grandhomme, Ryan Gibson, Harry Nielsen, Cameron Boyce, Wes Agar, Harry Conway, Peter Siddle.
The Renegades are much better when batting second against the Strikers, so they may choose to bowl first if winning the toss.
Read our guide on toss predictions to learn how we analyze and come up with our tips.
The pitch at Docklands seems to favour batting first, especially as it’s a bit less bouncy and has a shorter boundary, but Melbourne should still like their chances to bowl first.
It’s unusual to see the Strikers as the favourite, as we think the Renegades can win this and they have far better odds to get the victory. It makes sense to choose Melbourne, as Finch is playing out of his mind and Harper can bring it back when in form.
Richardson and Rogers can bowl incredibly well against a tough Strikers’ batting lineup. The Strikers have won the last two games against Melbourne but it’s about time for a switch and we think the Renegades have the talent for success.
Bet on Melbourne to win.
He's been a bit off lately but it's time for a comeback.
Short has been iffy, so look to Hose for major runs.
With Richardson coming back from injury, we trust Rogers far more.
A dangerous bowler and one that the Renegades will look out for.
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