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|Mujib Ur Rahman||4.0||0||16||1||4.00|
The Melbourne Renegades and Brisbane Heat are going to be playing their second consecutive game against each other in BBL 08. We thought that Brisbane Heat let a huge opportunity go by to win another match the first time these two teams met. They are going to have another chance to rectify that but the tricky conditions at Geelong, the venue of this next match, can make things difficult.
The Melbourne Renegades put up a fantastic show in the previous match. They restricted a strong Brisbane Heat batting to a small total and then chased it down with ease. For a team that has been struggling to get its batting right in the Big Bash so far, that win is going to be a huge confidence booster.
The Melbourne Renegades do not appear to have the strongest batting lineup in this competition especially in the absence of Aaron Finch and Cameron White. The return of Marcus Harris to the top of the order has helped and he is going to be around till the Australian test series against Sri Lanka gets underway.
The batting performance that we got to witness in the last match was superb. Marcus Harris, Sam Harper, and Tom Cooper ensured that the Melbourne Renegades did not have any trouble chasing down a small total.
Harper and Cooper benefitted from a few dropped catches but that is not something that they can control.
The Melbourne Renegades will be aware that the surface in Geelong has not been the best for batting. Their batsmen may need to reign themselves in a little and aim for a smaller total if they end up batting first.
We think backing the two batsmen in the middle order to the top scorers for Melbourne in this match is a good idea. We are talking about Mohammad Nabi and Daniel Christian. Both these players have been in good form and have helped the Melbourne Renegades out of a tough situation on more than one occasion already.
The weak top order also means that there is a good chance both these players will get to face a lot of overs. They also face spin well and can clear the boundaries with ease.
We don’t think any change to the bowling attack is going to be made. Jake Wildermuth, Cameron Boyce, Usman Khan, and Joe Mennie are supported by Mohammad Nabi and Daniel Christian. That is a pretty good bowling attack which should be able to take advantage of whatever help the surface has to offer.
Mackenzie Harvey, Marcus Harris, Sam Harper, TLW Cooper, BJ Webster, Mohammad Nabi, DT Christian, JD Wildermuth, Cameron Boyce, Joe Mennie, Harry Gurney.
The previous loss to the Melbourne Renegades was a very disappointing performance from Brisbane Heat. Brisbane got off to a good start but kept losing wickets and did not end up getting a decent total on the board.
We don’t understand what the side is trying to do with Joe Burns. He batted below Matt Renshaw, Jimmy Pierson, and Ben Cutting in the last match. No disrespect to any of those players but Joe Burns definitely deserves a chance up the order.
The top-3 have been striking the ball well without getting to big totals. Brendon McCullum scored a fifty but it took him 47 balls to get there. That is pretty slow by T20 standards and not what we are used to seeing from McCullum.
Max Bryant keeps striking the ball well and throwing away his wicket. One of these days he is going to get a massive score but teams really have to question if his methods are worth the return they offer. Chris Lynn continues to be the most important part of this batting lineup.
The surface in Geelong is not the kind that he usually prefers and so we would not recommend putting a big bet on him doing well in this match.
Mujeeb ur Rahman and Mitchell Swepson should be a handful to face on a surface that is expected to offer some spin. James Pattinson has been injured and will be missing from action in the next few matches.
Doggett, Cutting, and whoever Heat brings in is going to have some big shoes to fill in the upcoming match.
Brisbane Heat continues to look like a side that has most bases covered. We think their bowling and batting is far superior to the Melbourne Renegades but somehow Brisbane Heat ends up being less than the sum of its parts.
Max Bryant, Brendon McCullum, Chris Lynn, Matt Renshaw, Alex Ross, Ben Cutting, Jimmy Peirson, Josh Lalor, Brendan Doggett, Mitchell Swepson, Mujeeb Ur Rahman.
The team winning the toss is almost certainly going to field first
Read our guide on toss predictions to learn how we analyze and come up with our tips.
The BBL 08 match between the Melbourne Renegades and Brisbane Heat is going to be played at the Geelong Cricket Ground, Geelong. The pitch here is not used for cricket consistently and has been quite difficult to bat on.
Winning the toss can be a big advantage at this venue.
We think a score of about 140 could be match-winning.
Melbourne Renegades are going to fancy their chances in this match against Brisbane Heat. After all, they beat them comfortably in the last match and have the bowlers to trouble their strong batting lineup. We think the market has overestimated what they are capable of and this is a good opportunity to back Brisbane Heat with a big bet.
A better batting attack, an excellent bowling unit, and more power through its ranks should help it win.
Back Brisbane Heat to win.
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