Our "Prediction Wizard" will calculate, based on the current available betting odds, the implicit winning percentages for the possible outcomes in a match. This will be updated as soon as we fetch the odds from the betting sites and keep updating until the match is finished.
Australia finally turned up to the party and won its first game of this T20 series against New Zealand. It was a performance that we had been expecting for quite some time now but the inexperience seemed to count against Australia in previous matches.
All of their experienced players got back in form and the series could be a lot more closely contested from here on in. New Zealand will want to chalk its loss as a one-off but will know it has some areas to improve in as well.
Can Australia continue its momentum and win this next match to set up a decider? Will New Zealand strike back harder than ever before? Let’s see what is likely to happen.
New Zealand vs Australia 4th T20 2021 is going to be played at the Westpac Stadium, Wellington on the 5th of March 2021.
New Zealand had won the first two matches of the series batting first but had to chase in the third T20. That did not go down too well for them as Australia scored over 200 batting first. The Kiwi batsmen were always under pressure and had to risks from the very first ball they faced. As a result, we saw them lose regular wickets and crumble in the end.
New Zealand’s batting is quite good and now that Martin Guptill is back in form, very dangerous as well. Tim Seifert would like some runs to his name but Kane Williamson, Devon Conway, Glenn Phillips, and Jimmy Neesham have all scored well in this series already.
Conway actually appears to be the biggest threat to Australia right now and was striking the ball very well in the third T20 as well. In its own conditions, New Zealand’s batting is pretty good and cannot be taken lightly after just one poor performance.
The bowling was quite poor for New Zealand after the initial burst with the new ball. Tim Southee and Trent Boult always get some movement but if they do not get too many early wickets then the rest of the bowling can be targeted.
Ish Sodhi, Kyle Jamieson, and Jimmy Neesham were all expensive in the previous match and need to improve. New Zealand may think about bringing back Mitchell Santner for this next match.
Martin Guptill, Tim Seifert, KS Williamson, Devon Conway, GD Phillips, James Neesham, Mitchell Santner, Kyle Jamieson, TG Southee, Ish Sodhi, Trent Boult.
Everything seemed to click in place for Australia in the previous match, however, we still don’t think they were at their best. Matthew Wade continues to be a burden for the team at the top of the order and maybe needs a break.
They have Darcy Short waiting in the wings who can be given a go. Aaron Finch rode his luck to get some runs under his belt and Australia would be hoping that is the turning point for him. Finch is very dangerous at his best and with a T20 World Cup around the corner, Australia needs him to perform more consistently.
Josh Philippe, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, and Mitchell Marsh form a strong batting order. There is plenty of power and inventiveness here that can disrupt the flow of any team.
It was clear to see how the Australians used the switch-hit and reverse sweep to target the shorter side of the ground no matter who was bowling. That is something that New Zealand will be aware of and could try to defend a bit better.
With Maxwell and Finch in form now, the Australian batting seems to be stronger than New Zealand’s.
Rilee Meredith made an immediate impact after getting into the team. He bowled with pace and made life uncomfortable for all the batsmen. Jhye Richardson was unlucky not to have a couple of wickets and Kane Richardson bowled well too.
The most successful bowler, though, was Ashton Agar who picked up six wickets. We think he benefitted from having a big score to defend but credit cannot be taken away. He may go for runs but he does tend to pick up wickets regularly in this form of the game.
Australia’s bowling has a lot of options but we don’t think it is a whole lot better than what New Zealand has at the moment.
Aaron Finch, Matthew Wade, Josh Philippe, Glenn Maxwell, Marcus Stoinis, Mitchell Marsh, Ashton Agar, Jhye Richardson, KW Richardson, Adam Zampa, Riley Meredith.
All three matches in the series have been won by the team batting first. This is why we are sure that whoever wins the toss is going to want to bat first once more. It should be seen as a significant advantage.
Read our guide on toss predictions to learn how we analyze and come up with our tips.
The conditions in Wellington are expected to be good for cricket. There is some rain around but nothing that should seriously interrupt the match. The pitch at Westpac was very flat and good for batting. The unique nature of the ground where one side was much shorter than the other allowed the players to target it for their big-hits.
Nothing much is going to change for the next match and we expect the pitch to play very well once more. A score of around 180-190 must be the minimum that teams batting first are going to aim for.
Australia has made a strong comeback into the series and we are hoping that they will swap out Wade to increase the batting strength a bit more. Even with the same eleven, though, we think Australia has what it takes to win once more and take the series to a decider.
Their leading batsmen are in form and should be able to keep the pressure on the New Zealand team.
Bet on Australia to win.
Our Favorite Bets
Devon Conway Total Runs - Over 24.5 ($1.83) (Betway)
Easily the most fluent batsman in the entire series right now, Devon Conway is going through a real purple patch. He just seems to be scoring runs every single time that he comes out to bat and we suggest continuing to back him. The Kiwi top-order is not in the best form either and so he could get a lot of overs to face in the middle.
Winner Match Sixes - Australia ($2.00) (10Cric)
Australia has a lot of power in its side and its leading batsmen are now in good form. Glen Maxwell showed just how destructive he can be and we have yet to see the entire range of strokes from Mitchell Marsh. Even if they end up losing the match, we think this is one area they could still win.
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