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The second leg of West Indies’s tour of New Zealand 2020 is about to begin. Unlike a lot of other teams nowadays, the West Indies T20 and Test team have a massive difference in terms of personnel. That is probably a good thing because the players that were a part of the T20 setup did not really cover themselves in glory.
New Zealand is going to be very confident going into this test series. It has an excellent test record at home and is certainly going to maximize the points from this series to try and rise in the World Test Championships.
The task ahead of the West Indies to come out with any points from this series looks to be a tough one.
New Zealand vs West Indies 1st Test 2020 is going to be played at Seddon Park, Hamilton starting on the 3rd of December 2020.
New Zealand is at fourth place in the Test Championship table at the moment and will be hoping to get the maximum possible points from this series. This is why they have named a full-strength squad and are not going to take any game lightly.
There have been a few injury concerns in the New Zealand squad which have ruled out Ajaz Patel, Colin de Grandhomme, and possibly BJ Watling from the side. We expect Mitchell Santner and Will Young to get a chance in their absence while Tom Blundell should take the gloves and slide down the order.
Kane Williamson and Trent Boult are back for the Kiwis as well and so there are no real weaknesses at the moment.
Ross Taylor, Henry Nicholls, Tom Latham, Tom Blundell, and Will Young are the players that should comprise the batting order apart from Kane Williamson of course.
Mitchell Santner is likely to be the lone spinner while Trent Boult, Neil Wagner, Tim Southee, and Kyle Jamieson should be the starting bowling lineup.
There are more than enough resources in this team to cope with whatever the West Indies can throw at them.
TWM Latham, Will Young, KS Williamson, Ross Taylor, Henry Nicholls, Tom Blundell, Daryl Mitchell, Kyle Jamieson, TG Southee, Neil Wagner, Trent Boult.
A new captain and an almost entirely different squad of players from the T20 internationals is going to line up for the West Indies. It would be a mistake to take the West Indies lightly, however, you have to be realistic about their upside as well.
We think the West Indian test team can be dangerous, particularly if the conditions help their bowlers. Jason Holder, Kemar Roach, and Shannon Gabriel are a very dangerous bowling attack and can run through sides on their good days.
That being said, their batting is very frail and often just not good enough t allow them to compete.
Kraigg Brathwaite, John Campbell, Darren Bravo, Roston Chase, Shane Dowrich, and maybe Jermaine Blackwood should all find a place in the starting lineup. Jason Holder at seven is an excellent all-rounder while Kemar Roach and Shannon Gabriel are sure to play.
This leaves two places up for grabs. We think Alzarri Joseph will get one of them while the other may go to Rakheem Cornwall or an extra frontline batsman as insurance.
The West Indies can put together a decent lineup on the park, one that can surprise New Zealand for a short duration of time, but we just don’t see it being able to get the better of the home team for an entire test match.
Kraigg Brathwaite, John Campbell, Darren Bravo, Jermaine Blackwood, Shamarh Brooks, Roston Chase, Shane Dowrich, Jason Holder, Kemar Roach, Alzarri Joseph, Shannon Gabriel.
If New Zealand wins the toss, it may want to bat first. There is some help in the first hour or so but New Zealand pitches tend to flatten out very nicely for batting afterward. The risk is that you end up losing 4-5 wickets in the first hour and lose the test match there as well. This is why the West Indies will want to chase if it wins the toss.
Read our guide on toss predictions to learn how we analyze and come up with our tips.
There is some rain expected on the first and fifth day of the test match but that should not be a major concern. The pitch will have some grass on it and offer some early help to the fast bowlers. There is a little bit of pace in the surface but Seddon Park is one of the few grounds where the spinners tend to play a role as the third and fourth day of play commences.
A score of around 300-350 batting first is going to be pretty competitive.
We have no hesitation in sticking with the home team in this match no matter what the odds being offered are. New Zealand has more than enough depth in its squad to be able to overcome a few injury concerns. The West Indies are a poor test match side on most days and we just don’t see any reason why that will change on this tour.
Bet on New Zealand to win.
This is an easy bet to make and we are getting some outstanding odds on it. We have seen pitches in New Zealand be some of the flattest in the world for test cricket. One batsman from any team needs to take advantage of this and get you paid.
An easy opportunity to nearly double your money in this one.
Shannon Gabriel does not get credit for the kind of test match record he has. He is consistently quick and keeps on coming hard at the batsmen throughout the day. He is also very good against the lower-order batsmen and so picks up some cheap wickets. We think this is an excellent price for the risk that you will be taking.
A small bet on this one is advisable.
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