South Africa vs Pakistan 4th ODI Match Prediction

South Africa Cricket Logo
South Africa
164/10 in 41.0
4.00
Pakistan Cricket Logo
Pakistan
168/2 in 31.3
5.33
Jan 27, 201908:00
The Wanderers Stadium - Johannesburg, South Africa
Finished
Pakistan won by 8 wkts

Our Prediction

South Africa To Win the Match, 1.45
Read our quick thoughts
  • South Africa has the better batting lineup of the two sides
  • Pakistan batted well in the last game but its dependence on Imam ul Haq and Babar Azam is a problem
  • Both sides have a good bowling lineup
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Who's Winning?

What's this?

Our "Prediction Wizard" will calculate, based on the current available betting odds, the implicit winning percentages for the possible outcomes in a match. This will be updated as soon as we fetch the odds from the betting sites and keep updating until the match is finished.

RSA
0.0%
PAK
100.0%
  • Tournament: South Africa vs Pakistan 2018
  • Date: Jan 27, 2019
  • Format: ODI
  • Venue: The Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg, South Africa
  • Time: 08:00
  • Weather: Moderate or heavy rain shower, 64% Humidity, 20.6℃

Key Stats

  • Toss: Pakistan (Fielding)
  • Man of the Match: Usman Khan

South Africa

BatsmanRB4s6sSR
Imran Tahir 5 9 1 0 55.56
Reeza Hendricks 2 9 0 0 22.22
Andile Phehlukwayo 11 21 2 0 52.38
Hashim Amla 59 75 7 0 78.67
Faf du Plessis 57 76 5 1 75.00
David Miller 4 7 0 0 57.14
Kagiso Rabada 0 1 0 0 0.00
B Hendricks 2 8 0 0 25.00
Rassie van der Dussen 18 31 1 0 58.06
Quinton de Kock 0 7 0 0 0.00
DW Steyn 0 2 0 0 0.00
BowlerOMRWECO
SI Wasim 10.0 0 36 1 3.60
Shaheen Afridi 8.0 1 24 2 3.00
Shadab Khan 9.0 0 42 2 4.67
Mohammad Amir 7.0 1 26 1 3.71
Usman Khan 7.0 0 35 4 5.00

Pakistan

BatsmanRB4s6sSR
Babar Azam 41 53 2 0 77.36
F Zaman 44 44 7 0 100.00
Mohammad Rizwan 4 1 1 0 400.00
Imam-ul-Haq 71 91 6 1 78.02
BowlerOMRWECO
Imran Tahir 10.0 1 51 1 5.10
Reeza Hendricks 2.0 0 13 0 6.50
Andile Phehlukwayo 2.3 0 17 1 6.80
Kagiso Rabada 5.0 0 29 0 5.80
B Hendricks 7.0 0 31 0 4.43
DW Steyn 5.0 0 26 0 5.20

About the Match

Rain played spoilsport and did not let the second ODI between South Africa and Pakistan be completed. There were two rain interruptions in the match and by the time play was called off, South Africa was 13 runs ahead of the DLS adjusted target. This win now gives South Africa a 2-1 lead in the ODI series and an opportunity to win the series in the next game.

Pakistan can rightly feel a little hard done by the events of the second ODI. Their batsmen put up their best effort yet but the rain did not allow their bowlers to apply the squeeze. Can the visitors lift themselves and put in another strong performance as the series moves on to Johannesburg?

Match Preview

South Africa

South Africa immediately brought in Quinton de Kock and Dale Steyn into the side and they both looked absolutely ready. Dale Steyn was the pick of the bowlers with two wickets for 43 runs in his 10 overs. No other bowler took more wickets or gave runs at a better economy rate. Dale Steyn could have had another wicket as well but a relatively straight forward chance was grassed off his bowling.

The South African fielding was quite poor in the second ODI vs Pakistan. They dropped five matches and allowed 91 runs to be scored off the last ten overs. The execution of the bowlers was not the best during the end overs and not having Imran Tahir affects the ability of the side to pick up wickets in the middle overs as well.

Beuran Hendricks is new to the international scene and can be cut some slack but we don’t think this is South Africa’s best bowling attack.

The South African batsmen did much better in the last ODI. Reeza Hendricks shrugged off a few failures and was batting at his fluent best. He top-scored with 83 not out and his acceleration after the first rain interruption ensured that South Africa was always ahead of the game.

Quinton de Kock and Hashim Amla got off to starts before getting out and Faf du Plessis looked completely at ease as well. Out of all the batsmen, we like the manner in which du Plessis batted. He is currently batting at his best and has a very good opportunity of controlling the game from number 4.

He is always going to be our pick to be the highest scorer in this form although a century from Quinton de Kock can never be ruled out either.

South Africa seems to be playing this ODI series in third gear with one eye on the ICC World Cup 2019. This is going to give Pakistan some opportunities but South Africa still has enough depth in its ranks to be a very formidable side.

South Africa Starting Lineup

Quinton de Kock, Hashim Amla, Reeza Hendricks, Faf du Plessis, RVD Dussen, David Miller, Andile Phehlukwayo, Kagiso Rabada, DW Steyn, Imran Tahir, B Hendricks.

Pakistan

A much-improved batting performance from Pakistan in the last match raises hopes for the visitors for the remaining two matches in the ODI series. They were led by a charged up Imam ul Haq who score another century and became the second-fastest player to reach 1000 runs in ODI cricket.

Imam ul Haq has shown that he can be the consistent ODI player at the top of the order that Pakistan has been looking for to partner Babar Azam. Both these players laid the foundation of Pakistan’s batting effort in the previous game as well. Azam got out against the run of play with 69 to his name but had set the platform for the batsmen to follow.

We like seeing the new aggressive Mohammad Hafeez in the middle of the overs. He was lucky to receive a life early in the inning but did not let that stop him from taking on the bowlers. With Shoaib Malik and the all-rounders to follow, Pakistan’s batting has enough firepower to threaten 300 consistently when the top-order players do well.

It was good to see some flexibility from the Pakistani team management as they sent Imad Wasim up the order who scored 43 from just 23 balls. The balance of this side without Faheem Ashraf is much better in our opinion.

The lack of early wickets from the Pakistani bowlers is going to be a big concern. Mohammad Amir’s extended dry spell will be making all his supporters nervous. We don’t think he is going to get too many more chances if he continues to play in this fashion.

Perhaps the wet ball had something to do with it as none of the Pakistani bowlers were able to make an impact in the last game.

If Pakistan can keep getting good totals on the board then their bowling should be good enough to win it some matches.

Pakistan Starting Lineup

Imam-ul-Haq, F Zaman, Babar Azam, Mohammad Hafeez, Shoaib Malik, Mohammad Rizwan, SI Wasim, Shadab Khan, Mohammad Amir, Usman Khan, Shaheen Afridi.

Toss Prediction

The side winning the toss is likely to want to field first with all the rain around. 23 out of the 40 ODI's played at the venue have been won by the chasing side.

Read our guide on toss predictions to learn how we analyze and come up with our tips.

Pitch and Conditions

The fourth ODI between New Zealand and India is going to be played the Wanderers Stadium, Johannesburg. The weather forecast for match day is not very encouraging. There is a lot of rain that has been predicted and we may struggle to get a result in this match.

If we do see some play, though, then we usually see a lot of sixes hit at the Wanderers. This is the venue where 434 was chased down by South Africa and 300 must be considered the bare minimum that teams need to win.

Match Prediction

Rain complicates things because it is not possible to predict at what stage it will come down and what the equation will be after. In a normal scenario, we think South Africa should be able to win this game with ease by taking advantage of their power-packed batting lineup. There is not too much difference between the bowling attacks.

Back South Africa to win.

Betting Tips

South Africa To Win the Match, 1.45

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Which team will win?

South Africa 69.7% (244)
Pakistan 30.3% (106)
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