Our "Prediction Wizard" will calculate, based on the current available betting odds, the implicit winning percentages for the possible outcomes in a match. This will be updated as soon as we fetch the odds from the betting sites and keep updating until the match is finished.
|Dhananjaya de Silva||11||20||0||0||55.00|
|Dhananjaya de Silva||14||22||2||0||63.64|
|Dhananjaya de Silva||5.0||0||8||1||1.60|
Sri Lanka as a country has some massive problems right now but cricket always seems to be the one thing that brings it some temporary relief. After losing a closer-than-expected T20 series, it dominated the ODI's and is now looking to make a mark in the Test series as well.
Australia has been focused on winning this series since the very start. This series is a part of the World Test Championship, which Australia sits at the top of and has an excellent chance of making the Final.
The cricket betting sites have Sri Lanka as the underdog heading into this match. Could that be a betting opportunity you can take advantage of? Let us look a bit deeper into it.
Match prediction and cricket betting tips for Sri Lanka vs Australia 1st Test Match 2022. The match is going to be played at the Galle International Stadium, Galle starting on the 29th of June 2022.
Sri Lanka is a dangerous team to play at home and even though its recent record has not been great, it will certainly push this Australian team. One of the reasons that it is difficult to beat at home is because the conditions that it will set are tailor-made. Spin will play the central role in deciding the outcome of this match and that is where the home team could get a leg up.
All indications are that three front-line spinners are going to play. Laith Embuldeniya, and Jeffrey Vandersay. Sri Lanka will also have Dhananjaya de Silva to chip in with the ball as needed, giving them plenty of spin options.
The lone fast bowler is not going to be too important because we don't think he will bowl more than 10-12 overs in the entire match.
What about the batting then? Well, Angelo Matthews and Dhananjaya de Silva are our picks for batters that you can bet on. Both of them are excellent again spin and also play the fast0bowlers quite well. Pathum Nissanka and Kusal Mendis were in terrific form during the ODI's while Dimuth Karunaratne and Dinesh Chandimal are immensely experienced and effective in home conditions.
We can easily see this Sri Lankan team pushing the Aussies and even getting over the line in a tight contest.
Pathum Nissanka, Dimuth Karunaratne, Kusal Mendis, Angelo Mathews, Dhananjaya de Silva, Dinesh Chandimal, Niroshan Dickwella, Ramesh Mendis, Jeffrey Vandersay, Lasith Embuldeniya, Asitha Fernando, Oshada Fernando.
Australia had success in Pakistan and is set to play the same eleven. We are not too sure if that is the right move, though. Unlike in Pakistan where the reverse swing plays a massive role and wickets don't deteriorate as fast, Sri Lanka will not have much for its fast bowlers.
The wickets will have to come from Nathan Lyon and Mitch Swepson. Lyon is a world-class bowler who is going to play a massive role in this series. Picking him as the Top Bowler for Australia in this match should be a no-brainer but we are not at all convinced about having Mitch Swepson in the lineup.
Glenn Maxwell may have been a better choice with the batting firepower he brings! Australia will struggle for control and Swepson could be a liability.
Australia's batting lineup is also going to be tested. Steve Smith is a master of spin and so can be expected to score runs but he has been in poor form for quite some time now. The rest of the batting does not always have it easy against spin.
Usman Khawaja, David Warner, Marnus Labuschagne, and Travis Head can all crumble quite quickly. The idea from Australia is going to be to play aggressively and always look for runs but that is easier said than done.
Alex Carey down the order may be another good option for the Top Batsman Australia betting market. The odds available are very generous and he also plays spin very well.
David Warner, Usman Khawaja, Marnus Labuschagne, Steven Smith, Travis Head, Cameron Green, Alex Carey, Pat Cummins, Mitchell Starc, Nathan Michael Lyon, Mitchell Swepson.
The team that wins the toss is going to want to bat first. There is absolutely no doubt that batting first should be seen as a huge advantage. Only three times has a team lost a Test match at Galle after choosing to bat first. 21 out of the 31 results achieved in Test Matches have been in favor of the team that has batted first.
Read our guide on toss predictions to learn how we analyze and come up with our tips.
There is some rain around but the forecast is quite good for the most part. A couple of small interruptions can be expected on most days of the Test Match. The pitch is going to be a raging turner. The reports suggest that the practice pitches have turned and that there is not a blade of grass on the main surface either. A match in which runs are going to be hard to come by and plenty of wickets to fall on each day. We don't see this match going beyond three and a half days.
We are going to back the home team, Sri Lanka, to win this match. We think they have been undervalued by the cricket betting sites and that odds of over 4x available on them are just incredible. Australia's spin bowling options are thin and their reliance on Nathan Lyon is troubling. Also, the batting lineup does not have a great history against quality spinners either.
Bet on Sri Lanka to win.
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